Gold and Copper in Argentina: Minera Andes surges on rumours and Rob McEwen's commitment MAI.to, TNR.v, GRC.to, ASM.v, SGC.v, NGQ.v, KTN.v, EPZ.v, ALK.ax, GBN.v, RVM.v, MGN, AMM.to, AUY, BTT.v, KS.v, ABX, NEM, GG, BVN,

  We have today fireworks with another junior: Minera Andes surges 18% on volume to 1.11CAD. Globe has run an article about potential takeover targets in Copper space recently:

"Globe says Minera, others could be takeover targets Minera Andes with its huge Los Azules copper deposit in Argentina is primed for M&A play with rising Copper price and Chinese appetite for commodities, will be interesting to see what will happen with TNR Gold's legal claims on part of the deposit and whether Rob McEwen will be ready to make a deal with this junior in order to consolidate the project and appreciate full upside of the valuation in any potential deal. He values Los Azules up to 375 Mil in his "imprecise estimate of value"

  And yesterday Rob McEwen has announced:

"Rubicon Announces Secondary Offering of its Common Shares

Press Release Source: Rubicon Minerals Corporation On Thursday September 16, 2010, 7:20 pm EDT

VANCOUVER, Sept. 16 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ - Rubicon Minerals Corporation ("Rubicon" or the "Company") (TSX:RMX.to - News) announced today that it has filed a preliminary short form prospectus in all the provinces of Canada except Quebec in connection with an overnight-marketed secondary offering (the "Offering") by Evanachan Limited and McEwen Trading LP (the "Selling Shareholders"), entities owned or controlled by Robert R. McEwen, of 45,714,357 common shares of Rubicon owned by the Selling Shareholders.

The Offering will be priced in the context of the market with the final terms of the offering to be determined at the time of pricing. It is intended that upon completion of the offering, the Selling Shareholders will own no common shares of the Company. Rubicon will not receive any proceeds from this Offering. Closing of the Offering is expected to occur on or about October 5, 2010 and is subject to certain conditions, including the approval of the Canadian securities regulatory authorities.

Mr. McEwen has expressed his continued confidence with the Company but advised the Company that it has grown to represent a disproportionate share of his portfolio for an investment where he is not actively involved in management, and he noted that this step is designed to focus his interests on the companies he runs, U.S. Gold Corporation and Minera Andes."

  We can only guess whether the share price spike today is due to the Rob McEwen already buying or he will finance the next round of exploration in the company. Stretched between two lawsuits with both major company assets:  with TNR Gold on Los Azules and with Hochschild Mining on San Jose mine, it will be difficult for the company to achieve a proper valuation for its assets, but now we have a hope that company will not miss this exploration season and Los Azules will continue to grow. With every new drill hole expectations about the value in the ground will be rising with the size of the deposit, high grade core will provide a much better return of CAPEX - we are surprised that Minera Andes has not attempted to settle the legal cases and clear the titles of its properties before this run in Copper, Gold and Silver.

We will refer you to Minera Andes presentation.

 
  It is important to note, that not a lot of people are reading documents these days: according to the Statement of Defence by TNR Gold, company claims that it has the back in right into the Northern Half of Los Azules (not all deposit) of 25%, which could represent more then 12.5% of total deposit as a "metal in the ground" - with the bigger part of high grade core on its claimed grounds. Every lawsuit has an inherited legal risks for all parties, please read Minera Andes latest MD&A and TNR Gold Statement of Defence NR legal disclaimer - but it is exactly why we think that Robert McEwen is not going to "focus his interests on the companies he runs, U.S. Gold Corporation and Minera Andes."  and just sit in the courts with other companies and he will be able to resolve the situation in out-of-the-court settlement and move forward using this unique opportunity.

  We will throw another wild card here, maybe with all that chunk of cash Robert McEwen can pursue a radical move like buying out Hochschild Mining interest in San Jose mine or even all TNR Gold's Argentina portfolio with all its Gold and Copper properties - among them are strategic interest in Los Azules and Escorpio IV. Minera Andes can easily revisit its CAD2.0 price tag with cleared titles on its properties and record prices for Gold and Silver with Copper learning Mandarin day by day.

We have a position in these companies, please, do not consider anything as an investment advise, as usual, on this blog.

  In any case Argentina is going to have a hot summer this season. We will continue to monitor the situation.

 

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