Gold Market And The Stock Bull Topping $TNR.v $MUX $NG $ABX $GLD $GDX

  We have the very interesting picture in Gold now. It is moving up after the strong bullish candle on weekly chart painting the Head And Shoulders Bullish Reversal. As we had discussed before, we are not the only one watching these charts, but it is getting more and more difficult for the banksters to keep it down with the ongoing manipulation. Adam Hamilton is one of the few technicians we are following very close and a lot of his calls were right on the money in the past, he is highly recommended for your own homework.

Kirill Klip.:

UK Will Send Traders Rigging The Markets To Jail. Will It Include Gold Manipulation And Naked Short Selling?

  "We have a small victory for the common sense in the UK today. BBC reports "Osborne pledges criminal action against banks and traders":

"More action to tackle wrongdoing in the financial sector will be unveiled by Chancellor George Osborne on Thursday.

The measures will include making the manipulation of the foreign currency markets by banks a criminal offence. In a keynote speech he will promise to target "the unacceptable behaviour of the few and ensure that markets are fair for the many who depend on them". 

There has been increasing concern about whether the multi-trillion pound foreign exchange market was rigged. In his annual Mansion House speech, Mr Osborne will pledge the extension of legislation used to clean up after the Libor interest rate-fixing scandal. BBC."

  And the very important piece for us here:

As well as bringing the forex currency market under this legislation, it will be extended to those who trade in commodities, and also to the fixed income market, where the most common type of products traded are bonds. BBC."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  "CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector. Read more"

 ZEAL:

Stock-Bull Topping 2

Adam Hamilton     June 13, 2014

The US stock markets’ Fed-driven melt-up has accelerated again in recent weeks, with a string of new nominal record highs.  This has reignited truly extraordinary levels of greed, euphoria, and complacency.  But for traders who have witnessed past bull toppings, there is an ominous sense of deja vu.  It turns out this past year’s strong stock-market action nearly perfectly matches that leading into the last bull-market top in 2007.

US Dollar Dives Below 79.00 - How Long Can They Keep Gold Down? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  US Dollar dives this morning and is breaking down the all-crucial 79.00 line in the sand. At the moment of writing we have 78.94. Our rhetorical question of the day is how long manipulation can keep Gold down in this environment? Now yesterday's attack on Gold can be put in the new totally dramatic perspective of today's US Dollar Melt Down.

US Dollar Meltdown - Will Gold Start To Move Finally Up Now? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  "US Dollar today is in a total meltdown mood and is holding just a notch above the psychologically crucial 79.00 level at 79.09 now. Gold is moving between 1,300 and 1,317, which was tested yesterday. The both levels are crucial as we have discussed before. Move above MA50 at $1,317 will ignite the new Rally and short covering will provide the fuel for the launch of Leg Up Two in this Gold Bull market."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector. More."

US Dollar Meltdown - Will Gold Start To Move Finally Up Now? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  

  US Dollar today is in a total meltdown mood and is holding just a notch above the psychologically crucial 79.00 level at 79.09 now. Gold is moving between 1,300 and 1,317, which was tested yesterday. The both levels are crucial as we have discussed before. Move above MA50 at $1,317 will ignite the new Rally and short covering will provide the fuel for the launch of Leg Up Two in this Gold Bull market.

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector. More."

Koos Jansen On Why China Is The Gold Manipulation Culprit - Gold Demand 488 MT YTD, Up 29%. MUX TNR.v GLD GDX ABX NG

  

  Koos Jansen is doing the great forensic investigation reporting on the real Gold market in China. The demand for Gold in China is not slowing down this year in anyway according to Koos: Chinese Gold Demand 488 MT YTD, Up 29%.

Gold Has Completed The Golden Cross, Major Bullish Reversal Is Underway MUX TNR.v GLD GDX

  Gold has completed The Golden Cross and major Bullish Reversal is underway after this "FOMC week" correction. Now we should move much higher and Goldman Sachs with its call for Gold $1,050 by the end of the year is the very good contrarian indicator. 

  By the way, very interesting situation was happening today with McEwen Mining. Somebody from Goldman Sachs was all over the bids and MUX was traded with total volume of 20.7 million shares and Up 8%. (Update: Now with all after hours trades accounted the total volume between NYSE and Toronto stands at 30.8 million shares vs average volume of 3.5 million shares). That Somebody was caught Very Short after McEwen Mining run this year up to $3.74 and this "FOMC Week" That Somebody was "coincidentally happy" with MUX hitting low of $2.66 before very strong rebound and close at $2.88. Can we talk about manipulation again? One trade was particularly notable in the after hours: at 16.32 9.5 million shares were traded at $2.8804. Last month at the end of February  the total short position in MUX was reported at 25.5 million shares, so somebody used this week the opportunity to close at least part of it.  
  The upgrade from Cowen and Company has added to the fire: McEwen Mining Price Target increases to $4.57. One more reason for the huge volume spike was mentioned as the rebalancing in GDXJ - Junior Miners ETF. We will see in a week time the change in the short position in McEwen Mining to find out the real picture.
  Now we have the Volume Buy Signal in McEwen Mining and this rebalancing has coincided very nicely with the "FOMC Week" Gold sell off and shaking the weak hands out of the company stock. We will see what will happen next week and will monitor the Gold Golden Cross media talk this weekend.

  Small change games around TNR Gold could be ended in tears for the "players" as well very soon. The penny stock was sold into 3 cents on no volume again today. Next move in McEwen Mining and very strong announcements from International Lithium this week will change the picture very fast, TNR Gold holds 25.5% In International Lithium, shares of McEwen Mining and back-in right into Los Azules Copper project with McEwen Mining.

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Gold Has Completed The Golden Cross, Major Bullish Reversal Is Underway MUX TNR.v GLD GDX

  

  Gold has completed The Golden Cross and major Bullish Reversal is underway after this "FOMC week" correction. Now we should move much higher and Goldman Sachs with its call for Gold $1,050 by the end of the year is the very good contrarian indicator. 

  By the way, very interesting situation was happening today with McEwen Mining. Somebody from Goldman Sachs was all over the bids and MUX was traded with total volume of 20.7 million shares and Up 8%. (Update: Now with all after hours trades accounted the total volume between NYSE and Toronto stands at 30.8 million shares vs average volume of 3.5 million shares). That Somebody was caught Very Short after McEwen Mining run this year up to $3.74 and this "FOMC Week" That Somebody was "coincidentally happy" with MUX hitting low of $2.66 before very strong rebound and close at $2.88. Can we talk about manipulation again? One trade was particularly notable in the after hours: at 16.32 9.5 million shares were traded at $2.8804. Last month at the end of February  the total short position in MUX was reported at 25.5 million shares, so somebody used this week the opportunity to close at least part of it.  
  The upgrade from Cowen and Company has added to the fire: McEwen Mining Price Target increases to $4.57. One more reason for the huge volume spike was mentioned as the rebalancing in GDXJ - Junior Miners ETF. We will see in a week time the change in the short position in McEwen Mining to find out the real picture.
  Now we have the Volume Buy Signal in McEwen Mining and this rebalancing has coincided very nicely with the "FOMC Week" Gold sell off and shaking the weak hands out of the company stock. We will see what will happen next week and will monitor the Gold Golden Cross media talk this weekend.

  Small change games around TNR Gold could be ended in tears for the "players" as well very soon. The penny stock was sold into 3 cents on no volume again today. Next move in McEwen Mining and very strong announcements from International Lithium this week will change the picture very fast, TNR Gold holds 25.5% In International Lithium, shares of McEwen Mining and back-in right into Los Azules Copper project with McEwen Mining.

Eric Sprott - Gold To See Powerful Bullish "Golden Cross" Within Days TNR.v MUX GDX GDXJ GLD ABX NG

  C.S. Eric Sprott is talking about the "Golden Cross" - the very powerful bullish signal coming for Gold within the next few days. On the chart above you can see the very strong first move of the new Bull market in Gold from the December 2013 low. We are just 2% from 20% increase when media will start talking about the new Gold Bull market being "confirmed officially." As you can see MA 50 is turning decisively Up and is ready to cross MA200 to the upside.

  The very important driving forces behind this Gold rally is the record buying from China and the ongoing Gold Manipulation investigations. Eric thinks that all major bullion banks are at risk now and their compliance departments are very busy trying to manage the damage of potential litigation and fines. "The most important here that this process removes the manipulators out of the market. The ceiling is taking off from the Gold price now, they can not continue to manipulate Gold market as they did any more"

  You can listen to Eric on the link below and we will run a few charts showing what "Golden Cross" means for particular stocks.

Jim Sinclair: Russia Can Collapse US Economy, Gold Update, Silver is Gold on Steroids MUX TNR.v GDX GLD

  Jim Sinclair still stands by his $50,000 price for Gold. His explanation about the Gold market manipulation deserves very careful attention. According to Jim Sinclair nine entities including one in Russia and one in Singapore - where Jim involved himself - are building now Exchanges with Gold physical delivery settlement. You simply can not manipulate the Gold market in that case like it happen last year when huge amount of "Gold" was dumped in the paper market. 

  The situation around Ukraine and Russia is very dangerous and this new cold war can become hot very fast. In any case this ongoing confrontation between USA and Russia will have the very far reaching economic complications for both sides. The Petrodollar is the base for US Dollar now, after Nixon has taken it from Gold standard. US Dollar slide below 80.00 is very important, it shifts the entire US Dollar based system. "We are going to war for Petrodollar." Putin does not need any nuclear weapons, he has economic weapons of mass distraction. All he needs to do is to stop accept US Dollar.
   We have absolutely seen the double bottom in Gold in 2013. Gold is heading towards $2,000 and at least $1,918 level this year.
  

  

Eric Sprott - Gold To See Powerful Bullish "Golden Cross" Within Days TNR.v MUX GDX GDXJ GLD ABX NG

  "C.S. Eric Sprott is talking about the "Golden Cross" - the very powerful bullish signal coming for Gold within the next few days. On the chart above you can see the very strong first move of the new Bull market in Gold from the December 2013 low. We are just 2% from 20% increase when media will start talking about the new Gold Bull market being "confirmed officially." As you can see MA 50 is turning decisively Up and is ready to cross MA200 to the upside.

  The very important driving forces behind this Gold rally is the record buying from China and the ongoing Gold Manipulation investigations. Eric thinks that all major bullion banks are at risk now and their compliance departments are very busy trying to manage the damage of potential litigation and fines. "The most important here that this process removes the manipulators out of the market. The ceiling is taking off from the Gold price now, they can not continue to manipulate Gold market as they did any more"

  You can listen to Eric on the link below and we will run a few charts showing what "Golden Cross" means for particular stocks."

Eric Sprott - Gold To See Powerful Bullish "Golden Cross" Within Days TNR.v MUX GDX GDXJ GLD ABX NG

  C.S. Eric Sprott is talking about the "Golden Cross" - the very powerful bullish signal coming for Gold within the next few days. On the chart above you can see the very strong first move of the new Bull market in Gold from the December 2013 low. We are just 2% from 20% increase when media will start talking about the new Gold Bull market being "confirmed officially." As you can see MA 50 is turning decisively Up and is ready to cross MA200 to the upside.

  The very important driving forces behind this Gold rally is the record buying from China and the ongoing Gold Manipulation investigations. Eric thinks that all major bullion banks are at risk now and their compliance departments are very busy trying to manage the damage of potential litigation and fines. "The most important here that this process removes the manipulators out of the market. The ceiling is taking off from the Gold price now, they can not continue to manipulate Gold market as they did any more"

  You can listen to Eric on the link below and we will run a few charts showing what "Golden Cross" means for particular stocks.

 We have discussed the "Golden Cross" for McEwen Mining a few weeks ago and you can see the performance of that company this year. The stock is in a clear breakout mode fuelled by the Gold breakout and the powerful short squeeze. We expect TNR Gold to join this party after the Gold "Golden Cross" will ignite mass media talk that the Gold Bull Is Back.

Massive Short Squeeze Drives McEwen Mining Higher On Solid Results MUX TNR.v GDX GDXJ GLD HUI

  "McEwen Mining has delivered solid results in 2013, updated its resource estimates at the San Jose mine in Argentina and Gold breakout now drives the stock higher on the massive short squeeze this week. According to NASDAQ, McEwen Mining Short Interest was at 25.5 million shares in the end of February. Solid operational results, higher Gold and Silver prices are making shorts very nervous these days. Catalyst will come with the news from Nevada exploration program, El Galo 2 development with higher Silver prices and any Los Azules copper development can change the situation for McEwen Mining and TNR Gold overnight."

McEwen still hopeful of attracting a buyer for Los Azules

McEwen Mining: Fourth Quarter and Year end Financial Results MUX TNR.v GDX GLD

Junior Miners: Gold Breaks $1,360 As US Dollar Slides Further Down TNR.v MUX GDX GLD ABX NG RGLD

  

  Gold breaks $1,360 today with US Dollar sliding down to 79.63. China's worries and Ukraine situation are putting futures under pressure. Could it be that the Copper slump is the counter strike at Chinese shadow financial system in the ongoing Financial War? We will never get the clear answers here, but US Dollar is sliding further today and Copper at this levels can not indicate the healthy growing economy. 

  Gold is climbing the "Wall Of Worry" in its new Bull market and we have a lot of calls that this rally will be short lived. Shorts will be surprise and will have to cover again providing more fuel to this move. Now the second wave of advance in Gold Junior miners should confirm this rally. Major companies are solidly off the lows from December, but smaller companies were still lacking the bids behind. With rising Gold price the best projects held by juniors will come on the investor's radar screens.

Peter Schiff and GATA's Bill Murthy: The Real Value of Gold TNR.v MUX GDX GLD RGLD NG.to ABX

  It is time to listen and remind ourselves about the real value of Gold and what is coming next with all geopolitical games unfolding at the crucial levels for US Dollar and Gold markets. China is the major subject of conversation here again and Russia is already talking about the asymmetrical retaliation to the imposed by the West sanctions around the Ukraine situation. Gold manipulation can not go forever with China buying the record amount of Gold officially and who knows what are the real numbers in its state-level military plan to accumulate Gold for the De-Dollarisation reset?
  Peter Schiff's question about China buying more Gold companies could be answered very soon if the rumours about CITIC being involved in talks with Barrick Gold about Pascua Lama will be confirmed. This huge mine is located on the border of Argentina and Chile, it is in the very advance development stage and China  will be just the right partner for Barrick over there.
  China has mastered "The Art Of War" to the perfection in its long-term strategic plans to secure the critical materials and metals. China's control of the crucial REE market for the high end technological applications is well known already and its participation in establishing of the world class Lithium Industry and accumulation Lithium assets around the world deserves the attention of the market as well.

Eric Sprott on Ukraine Russia War: Capital Controls, Bank Runs, Gold and Silver Forecast TNR.v MUX GLD GDX

  Eric Sprott discusses the Gold market manipulation and the set of evidence presented by a number of new reports on the subject. According to Eric, demand for Gold is exceeding available supply and it will power the Gold price much higher. China is buying record amounts of Gold and situation in Ukraine puts more strain on the global economy and its monetary system. Gold is the place you turn during the financial and political distress.

Koos Jansen: Chinese Physical Gold Demand YTD 369t Up 51 % Y/Y TNR.v MUX GDX GLD RGLD ABX

  "Koos Jansen continues his remarkable work reporting the real demand for Gold in China. According to his information this demand is on track for another record annualised so far and is up 51% on Y/Y basis. Geopolitical shift with the Ukraine situation will only add to this fire and ongoing Financial War will claim its victim US Dollar."

Currency Wars: The Yuan's Silent Scream - Portrait Of A Derivatives Bomb Being Detonated TNR.v MUX GDX GLD

"David Kranzler published a very interesting article confirming our discussion about the ongoing Financial War involving USA, Russia and China now. Bo Polny on the chart above presents his view about the implications of US Dollar crash below 80.00 level for the Gold market and you can find our thoughts on the links  below."

Dollar Crashed Below 80.00 What Is Next For Gold, Copper And Lithium? TNR.v MUX ILC.v GDX

"In a few words: they all are going much higher now. Let's discuss why we think it is going to be the case. What is coming next for stocks and commodities? The concept of Great Inflation in 2014 was first introduced here by Toby Connor article and so far the market was unfolding as he has predicted. The most important observation here is that not only we are seeing the first signs of increased money velocity and unfolding Inflation in the different Commodities Breakouts, but that FED is actively looking forward to create Inflation. Janet Yellen statements about desired level of Inflation were quite a revelation for the Central Banker to say the least. Never fight the FED and with the help of Russia and China US dollar will slide down even more and Inflation will be coming not only onto your grocery bills, where it was never gone, but even into the massaged government statistic reports."

Koos Jansen: Chinese Physical Gold Demand YTD 369t Up 51 % Y/Y TNR.v MUX GDX GLD RGLD ABX

  

  Koos Jansen continues his remarkable work reporting the real demand for Gold in China. According to his information this demand is on track for another record annualised so far and is up 51% on Y/Y basis. Geopolitical shift with the Ukraine situation will only add to this fire and ongoing Financial War will claim its victim US Dollar.

Currency Wars: The Yuan's Silent Scream - Portrait Of A Derivatives Bomb Being Detonated TNR.v MUX GDX GLD

"David Kranzler published a very interesting article confirming our discussion about the ongoing Financial War involving USA, Russia and China now. Bo Polny on the chart above presents his view about the implications of US Dollar crash below 80.00 level for the Gold market and you can find our thoughts on the links  below."

Dollar Crashed Below 80.00 What Is Next For Gold, Copper And Lithium? TNR.v MUX ILC.v GDX

"In a few words: they all are going much higher now. Let's discuss why we think it is going to be the case. What is coming next for stocks and commodities? The concept of Great Inflation in 2014 was first introduced here by Toby Connor article and so far the market was unfolding as he has predicted. The most important observation here is that not only we are seeing the first signs of increased money velocity and unfolding Inflation in the different Commodities Breakouts, but that FED is actively looking forward to create Inflation. Janet Yellen statements about desired level of Inflation were quite a revelation for the Central Banker to say the least. Never fight the FED and with the help of Russia and China US dollar will slide down even more and Inflation will be coming not only onto your grocery bills, where it was never gone, but even into the massaged government statistic reports."

In Gold We Trust:

Chinese Physical Gold Demand YTD 369t Up 51 % Y/Y

The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) is back on schedule publishing their trade reports on friday that cover the previous trading week. Last friday’s report covered the trading week February 17 – 21. For me the most important numbers is always the amount of physical gold withdrawn from the vaults as this equals Chinese wholesale demand. Withdrawals in week 8 (February 17 – 21) accounted for 49 tonnes, year to date there have been 369 tonnes withdrawn from the vaults. If we divide the later by the number of days of the corresponding period (52) we come up with an average demand of 7.09 tonnes per day – this includes weekends and the one week holiday at Lunar year when the SGE was closed.

I got a few request regarding demand compared to last year and daily moving averages. Great ideas which I have carried out (request are always welcome, we’re doing this together). Compared to last year demand is up 51 % over the same period. Of course we had the shocker in April 2013 when withdrawals exploded to 117 tonnes in week 17. I don’t expect any spikes that big this year so probably this year’s growth compared to 2013 in percentages will be decreasing when we’ll pass April. Nevertheless, the daily average of 2013 was (2197/365) 6.02 tonnes, while this year we’re up to 7.09 tonnes. China is on schedule to establish a new record, if the world can supply any more gold.

Although I’m not much of a technical guy, I made the following calculation for the 200 DMA. Because the withdraw numbers are weekly disclosed I divided 200 by 7 (days in a week) which equals 28.57. The 200 DMA in the chart below is the trend line of 28.57 red columns (weeks), which boils down to 200 days. The hight of the trend line still corresponds to the (weekly) withdrawal numbers on both axes. (200 DMA = 28.57 WMA)

We can see the the 200 DMA rising in 2013 to nearly 50 tonnes a week in June, then it fell slightly at the end of the year. Before the new year wholesale demand picked up again prior to an unprecedented buying spree on retail level and moved the trend line up at currently just under 50 tonnes a week.

The longer this insatiable demand continues the more I start to ask myself where this gold is coming from. We know from Swiss refineries they’re having a very hard time to source this much gold for China.

According to the World Gold Council all above ground gold accounts for 170,000 tons, in my opinion it’s impossible to know this amount. It’s a rather Keynesian thought that an institution can know how much grains of gold every single human being across the globe extracted from the earths crust in the history of humanity, and how all these grains were allocated or maybe lost throughout history. I think the total amount of above ground gold is as invisible as the hand that regulates the free market. Every economic agent can only be positive about it’s own gold holdings and decide to exchange these against goods or services, depending on the exchange rates set by the free market. Although all exchange rates are currently set by Keynes’ descendants, that doesn’t mean any institution knows the total amount of above ground gold.

It’s just a matter of strong and weak hands now. Most goldbugs are strong hands – because they not only hold gold for investment purposes, they also hold it because of their view on economic theory – while a random US citizen on food stamps that owns a golden earring is a weaker hand. Anyway, based on certain parameters (import, demand, mining) one would think that in coming months the price of gold and Chinese demand wil getin conflict; the situation simply can’t go on like this forever.

Meanwhile the mainstream media is slowly waking up to the possibility the price of gold has been manipulated for decades through the London fix, which in my opinion is just one aspect of the manipulation process. Although I’m sure this aspect will unravel the rest of the process as well. All in all lots of stress in the gold market, reflected by long periods of negative GOFO. I hope to write an article about the details of GOFO in the near future.

Overview Shanghai Gold Exchange data 2014 week 8

- 49 metric tonnes withdrawn in week 8  (17-02-2014/21-02-2014)

- w/w  - 23.86 %

- 369 metric tonnes withdrawn year to date

My research indicates that SGE withdrawals equal total Chinese gold demand. For more information read this, this, this and this.

This is a screen shot from the weekly Chinese SGE trade report; the second number from the left (blue – 本周交割量) is weekly gold withdrawn from the vaults in Kg, the second number from the right (green – 累计交割量) is the total YTD.

This chart shows SGE gold premiums based on data from the SGE weekly reports (it’s the difference between the SGE gold price in yuan and the international gold price in yuan).

Below is a screen shot of the premium section of the SGE weekly report; the first column is the date, the third is the international gold price in yuan, the fourth is the SGE price in yuan, and the last is the difference.

In Gold We Trust