Gold Market And The Stock Bull Topping $TNR.v $MUX $NG $ABX $GLD $GDX

  We have the very interesting picture in Gold now. It is moving up after the strong bullish candle on weekly chart painting the Head And Shoulders Bullish Reversal. As we had discussed before, we are not the only one watching these charts, but it is getting more and more difficult for the banksters to keep it down with the ongoing manipulation. Adam Hamilton is one of the few technicians we are following very close and a lot of his calls were right on the money in the past, he is highly recommended for your own homework.

Kirill Klip.:

UK Will Send Traders Rigging The Markets To Jail. Will It Include Gold Manipulation And Naked Short Selling?

  "We have a small victory for the common sense in the UK today. BBC reports "Osborne pledges criminal action against banks and traders":

"More action to tackle wrongdoing in the financial sector will be unveiled by Chancellor George Osborne on Thursday.

The measures will include making the manipulation of the foreign currency markets by banks a criminal offence. In a keynote speech he will promise to target "the unacceptable behaviour of the few and ensure that markets are fair for the many who depend on them". 

There has been increasing concern about whether the multi-trillion pound foreign exchange market was rigged. In his annual Mansion House speech, Mr Osborne will pledge the extension of legislation used to clean up after the Libor interest rate-fixing scandal. BBC."

  And the very important piece for us here:

As well as bringing the forex currency market under this legislation, it will be extended to those who trade in commodities, and also to the fixed income market, where the most common type of products traded are bonds. BBC."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  "CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector. Read more"

 ZEAL:

Stock-Bull Topping 2

Adam Hamilton     June 13, 2014

The US stock markets’ Fed-driven melt-up has accelerated again in recent weeks, with a string of new nominal record highs.  This has reignited truly extraordinary levels of greed, euphoria, and complacency.  But for traders who have witnessed past bull toppings, there is an ominous sense of deja vu.  It turns out this past year’s strong stock-market action nearly perfectly matches that leading into the last bull-market top in 2007.

Currency Wars: Russia Holds "De-Dollarization Meeting": China, Iran Willing To Drop USD From Bilateral Trade

  

  C.S. We are going into the next stage of The Currency Wars when our previous discussions on this blog are getting into the headlines from Kremlin. Geopolitical map of the world is being re-drawn as we speak now. Our Global Village  is getting to the good old street on street fight. The reason is simple: There Is Not Enough. You can print money and manipulate equity market in to the All-Time-High for a while, but you can't print Oil, Copper, Gold and other commodities without which any growth is impossible. We all need to eat in between of our sessions on Facebook and even Google search will not bring us food into the mouth yet. Our dear Apple is really great, but we can not eat iPads even if their prices are "deflationary". We need Gas, Fertilisers and even more Oil to grow our Food and deliver it. 

  Have you noticed that with global growth in economy being barely above the water and China's "Collapse" Oil prices are strongly north of $100 mark? Where is all that Shale Oil and Gas? What will happen when economy will start growing for real?

  China knows is too well that is why it is buying resources all over the world, including Copper and Lithium. It has the military plan of Electrification of its Transportation and for Alternative Energy. Just check the numbers on Wind and Solar Power installations in the world. Energy Storage is the next stage and Lithium is at the core of it. Now China benefits from all these games and manipulations in the Gold market and buying best Copper deposits in the world.

  Have we mentioned already that poor Ukraine has been caught between the rock and the hard place? That nobody really cares about its Independence or its Proud People? That Joe Biden son has joined the board of the major Gas producer  in Ukraine? Or that it is all really about China? Empire has the only one resource left - its Military Complex (Industrial part of it gone, but Nukes are here) and it is playing the very dangerous game to leverage it and slow down China.

  Can even the good Golfer who is spending more time on the Greens than in the War Room fight with the Bear Hunters or Shaolin Masters? This is the question two charts are talking about. US Dollar above, which is playing with dangerous 80.00 level after breaching 79.00 once already these weeks; and Gold below, which is harder and harder to break down below MA200.
  Nobody knows the future, but the one outcome is already here: due to stupidity and arrogance the world has another Tsar  and will have one more retired Golfer ...

US Dollar Dives Below 79.00 - How Long Can They Keep Gold Down? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  "US Dollar dives this morning and is breaking down the all-crucial 79.00 line in the sand. At the moment of writing we have 78.94. Our rhetorical question of the day is how long manipulation can keep Gold down in this environment? Now yesterday's attack on Gold can be put in the new totally dramatic perspective of today's US Dollar Melt Down."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  "CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article." 

Ukraine, Syria And Global De-Dollarization: USD To Go Down And Gold Up TNR.v MUX RGLD GDX GLD ABX

 "What is connecting so different countries as Ukraine and Syria? The big chess game played by the U.S. and Russia. Syria needs to be "liberalised" in order to build pipelines for the natural Gas to be supplied from Qatar  to Europe. Russia and China have blocked that game and they have Ukraine revolution 2.0 now. Putin's dream is to rebuild USSR as the Eurasian Union and Ukraine is the key to his success. He will not back out of it easily. One thing is an insult in the ice hockey defeat by the U.S. in Sochi and another thing is to lose "Small Russia". On the map below you can see why Ukraine is so important geopolitically, it is all about Energy again. Key supply natural Gas routes from Russia to Europe are crossing this country." 

ZeroHedge:

Russia Holds "De-Dollarization Meeting": China, Iran Willing To Drop USD From Bilateral Trade

"That Russia has been pushing for trade arrangements that minimize the participation (and influence) of the US dollar ever since the onset of the Ukraine crisis (and before) is no secret: this has been covered extensively on these pages before (see Gazprom Prepares "Symbolic" Bond Issue In Chinese Yuan; Petrodollar Alert: Putin Prepares To Announce "Holy Grail" Gas Deal With China; Russia And China About To Sign "Holy Grail" Gas Deal; 40 Central Banks Are Betting This Will Be The Next Reserve Currency; From the Petrodollar to the Gas-o-yuan and so on).

But until now much of this was in the realm of hearsay and general wishful thinking. After all, surely it is "ridiculous" that a country can seriously contemplate to exist outside the ideological and religious confines of the Petrodollar... because if one can do it, all can do it, and next thing you know the US has hyperinflation, social collapse, civil war and all those other features prominently featured in other socialist banana republics like Venezuela which alas do not have a global reserve currency to kick around.

Or so the Keynesian economists, aka tenured priests of said Petrodollar religion, would demand that the world believe.

However, as much as it may trouble the statists to read, Russia is actively pushing on with plans to put the US dollar in the rearview mirror and replace it with a dollar-free system. Or, as it is called in Russia, a "de-dollarized" world. Read more."

US Dollar Dives Below 79.00 - How Long Can They Keep Gold Down? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  US Dollar dives this morning and is breaking down the all-crucial 79.00 line in the sand. At the moment of writing we have 78.94. Our rhetorical question of the day is how long manipulation can keep Gold down in this environment? Now yesterday's attack on Gold can be put in the new totally dramatic perspective of today's US Dollar Melt Down.

US Dollar Meltdown - Will Gold Start To Move Finally Up Now? GLD GDX TNR.v MUX NG ABX

  "US Dollar today is in a total meltdown mood and is holding just a notch above the psychologically crucial 79.00 level at 79.09 now. Gold is moving between 1,300 and 1,317, which was tested yesterday. The both levels are crucial as we have discussed before. Move above MA50 at $1,317 will ignite the new Rally and short covering will provide the fuel for the launch of Leg Up Two in this Gold Bull market."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector. More."

Eric Sprott: The Chinese Gold Vortex - Do Not Miss This Golden Opportunity GDX TNR.v MUX

  CS. Gold is building a very strong reversal pattern after resent correction. The only problem is that we are not the only one watching this chart closely and manipulators are trying to paint the breakdown on the chart above. In the normal market this picture will indicate very strong Bull market, building the base after The Golden Cross to make its Second Bull Leg Up. We have the close right above the MA200 at $1,300 and Bollinger Bands suggest that volatility will increase dramatically. Will "They" be able to break Gold down again? This is the question which will separate boys from the men again. The most important for us that this technical picture reflects the fundamentals Eric Sprott is talking about in his article. 

  Should Gold confirm this reversal by breaking Up above the MA50 at $1,317 Gold Junior Miners with the strong stories will finally start to move. This very illiquid and speculative type of investments in Gold equities normally start to participate in the stage two of the Gold Rally, when liquidity from professional players is searching for the new "ten-baggers" after booking the profits from the initial Gold Breakout. Every market is the function of the supply and demand, with Equities hitting all-times-highs and moving into the weak "Sell In May" season Gold Junior Miners have all chances to remind why they are considered to be so volatile. The way up normally is a very dramatic move in magnitude after such an obliteration as you can see on the chart below. The most important indicator here is the Volume - money is coming into the sector.

  Eric Sprott has made his billions in the markets like this one - when nobody wanted the Gold Equities, he is calling it again the opportunity of the lifetime. Will he be right again? Nobody knows. Can we succeed following our stories here - we will find out. But we like the good company for our journey and Eric is one of the best and we like strong companies like McEwen Mining with a few catalyses waiting to happen. Whether TNR Gold with Insiders holding more than 65% of the company will join the party will be known very soon as well. This group has stricken the major deals with top Lithium producer in China for its International Lithium and is waiting for Rob McEwen to make his magic with McEwen Mining projects and working on Los Azules Copper particularly. Nobody knows how soon Chinese will call here as well.

TNR Gold And McEwen Mining: Argentina's Caem Optimistic Over Pascua Lama Future TNR.v MUX ABX GDX

 Argentina slowly comes to its senses and welcomes mining business back these days. Argentinian government is negotiating with Chile the ways to bring development of  Pascua Lama back on track and China is already waiting for it, according to some rumours. Captains of the mining industry are allocating new investments in mining projects in Argentina and Yamana Gold has announced that it will focus on its  Cerro Moro Gold and Silver project in Argentina along with Canada Assets.

  Los Azules Copper is waiting for its hour to come into the industry spotlight and Pascua Lama development will do the trick. Both projects are located in the same San Juan province in Argentina. Shareholders of TNR Gold and McEwen Mining finally will be rewarded for their patience one day. And now this day is coming closer with every positive development in Argentina.

  

TNR Gold Shotgun Gold Presentation TNR.v GDX GLD MUX

  "TNR Gold has published its new Shotgun Gold presentation. After the news about Barrick Gold and Newmont Mining talks about the merger we are looking for the major bottom in the mining cycle. The best projects will find its way now to the investors' radar screens."

Gold M&A: Barrick Gold - Newmont Mining Merger Talks ABX MUX TNR.v NEM

 "As you remember, we were looking for M&A activity in Gold and Commodities to pick up in order to confirm the major Bottom built up last year. Now we have the very important confirmation about that bottom from the industry insiders. Announced deals with Las Bambas - being bought by Chinese companies and these talks about the merger between Barrick Gold and Newmont Mining signify the very important point in the cycle. It is cheaper "to dig" for Gold and Copper on the Exchange than in the ground. Depressed market valuations of the resources represented by the discounted share prices of miners provide the best entry points in the decades for the commodity markets. It is not only our talk any more  - it is the flash news from the top boardrooms in the mining business. It is the money talk by the Insiders. "Don't discount this merger talks in the future!"

TNR Gold Shotgun Gold Presentation, Alaska - April 2014 from Kirill Klip

SprottGlobal:

The Chinese Gold Vortex

By: Eric Sprott
After a long and agonizing winter which was attributed to the so-called “Polar Vortex”, we thought it would be appropriate to highlight for precious metal investors the implications of what we call the “Chinese Gold Vortex”. Over the past year, we have been very vocal about what we consider an aberration: the complete disconnect between gold supply and demand fundamentals and the actual price of the metal.
We have shown in February Markets at a Glance (MAAG) that, for all of 2013, demand from emerging markets, particularly China, was extremely strong, outstripping world mine supply by a fair amount. But this extreme tightness in the physical market was not reflected in gold prices. We have since then discussed many signs of manipulation in both the paper and physical gold markets (ETF flows, Indian intervention, LBMA fixings, to name a few).
This month’s Markets at a Glance presents an update on the demand dynamics in China, discussion around new evidence of manipulation and concludes with an illustrative example of the opportunity in gold equities.
Supply and Demand
While the year is still young, we have been able to gather a few data points from China and they are truly impressive. The table below shows Chinese net imports of gold for the first two months of 2014.¹ So on average, each month this year, China has imported about 204 tonnes of gold, up from about 143 tonnes last year.²

Chinese data is taken from the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department. Swiss data is taken from the Swiss Customs Administration, which started reporting gold exports to specific countries in 2014.
To put these numbers in perspective, for the full year 2013, total mine supply excluding China and Russia averaged 192 tonnes per month (see the February 2014 MAAG for details on the methodology).³ Basically, China is currently vacuuming, on a monthly basis, all of the world’s mine production plus an additional 10 tonnes. But that is only China; anecdotal evidence from other countries suggests that demand remains strong in other Emerging Markets, where Central Banks keep adding to their gold reserves. Moreover, whereas last year’s ETFs contributed (unsustainably) to supply, this year has so far seen net inflows into gold bullion ETFs.
What immediately comes to mind is: where does all this gold come from? As we have long argued, gold to Emerging Markets has been supplied by Western Central Banks for many years.⁴Recent data substantiates this claim. A closer look at Swiss import and export data shows that it imports most of its gold from the US and the UK and exports most of it to China and Hong Kong. For example, in the first two months of 2014, the UK has exported over 233 tonnes of gold to Switzerland; this is more than half of the Chinese net imports over the same period (remember the UK doesn’t produce any gold). Similarly, the US, which has a monthly gold production of about 19 tonnes, has exported, in the month of January alone 56 tonnes, most of which went either to Switzerland or to Hong Kong directly.⁵ So where does all this gold come from? It is supplied by Western Central Banks, which according to our analysis have very little gold left.
While it is still early, the Chinese Gold Vortex is firing on all cylinders and data so far this year suggests that demand will far outstrip supply.
Manipulation
The topic of gold price manipulation seems to be making its way into the mainstream. Regulators in Germany made the first foray into gold manipulation with their investigations of the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) now infamous Gold Fixing.⁶ Now, we hear that the CME Group (which owns the COMEX, where paper gold trades) has been sued by three traders for allegedly selling order information to HFTs ahead of the broader market.⁷
Simultaneously, academic studies have found evidence of manipulation in the gold market and a consultancy (Fideres) even claims that “global gold prices may have been manipulated 50% of the time between January 2010 and December 2013”.⁸
We have long suspected manipulation, but it is now clear to us that both the physical and paper bullion markets have been tampered with for quite some time, to the advantage of those that are naturally short gold (i.e. the bullion banks and other gold dealers). With the increasing amount of scrutiny from the public, academia, regulators and now lawyers, manipulators should have a progressively more difficult time preventing gold from reaching fair value.
The Opportunity
The stars are aligned in 2014 for a significant re-rating of the gold price. In our opinion, the best way to participate in a return of the gold price to fundamentals is to invest in junior gold miners. The tables below show EPS estimates under various gold price scenarios and the associated stock price targets, assuming a price-to-earnings ratio of 10x, for both a major (Barrick) and a junior (Crocodile) miner. From the table, it is obvious that junior gold miners have much more leverage to the price of gold.

Estimates are for FY2014. Price returns assume a P/E ratio of 10x. All figures in USD.
Source: Sprott Estimates and RBC Capital Markets
For illustrative purposes only, Eric Sprott and Sprott Asset Management Funds beneficially (directly or indirectly) may own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding securities of the above securities.
In summary, the tailwinds are twofold for gold: the Chinese Gold Vortex is putting an undeniable pressure on the physical market, while focus on price manipulation makes it progressively harder for price manipulators to operate. The reversal of this anomalous, yet explicable market dysfunction could provide astute investors with multi-hundred per cent returns.
Do not miss this Golden Opportunity!"

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