Showing posts with label Avino Silver. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Avino Silver. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 05, 2012

Nickel, Copper, PGM - Bitterroot Resources Has Its Fireworks Today BTT.v

  

  From the Bitterroot Resources news release this one looks like a pure area play at this moment. BTT.v has accumulated a very sizable land package in the area, it is right next to Rio Tinto claims and some Rio Tinto drill holes are just few hundred meters away from BTT.v property. 
  We think that the most important in this story is the volume - stock is strongly up with over 66.7% gain and 9.1 million shares traded at the moment of writing. It shows that any sign of life, some backing and Idea about the building up story can ignite the rally in the totally depressed stock.
  We guess that after all the Fear nobody likes to miss another Gold Quest in the making - that discovery story is the only one - but so many Juniors were totally forgotten and Slaughtered this summer that any vital signs can drive the crowd and expectations again.
  Everybody is chasing the same question now - who could be in Play next? Who can strike the new discovery, attract J/V partner or become a Target for M&A?


  Update: BTT.v has closed today at 0.075CAD with 66.7% gain and 12.9 million shares traded. Something is happening behind the curtain - as this NR can not really ignite such an interest from THE large Canadian brokers. We should see some real news soon, there are some rumors around that it could be a J/V partner or another deal made with the company. Rio Tinto could be the reason for the Fireworks like this, but we have to see it announced yet.
  It is always difficult to guess and chase the stocks, which caught the Fire already - this is why it is so important to do your homework and accumulate you collection of favorite Juniors with the real stories behind them early into the new Up Leg in the Cycle.

"Bitterroot owns 363 square miles of mineral rights in Michigan's Upper Peninsula, mainly in Ontonagon, Houghton, Baraga, and Iron Counties. The lands are subdivided into two general packages - the Voyageur Lands (257 square miles) and the Copper Range Lands (106 square miles). Bitterroot also holds mineral leases and prospecting permits covering 3,084 acres. Through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Trans Superior Resources, Inc., Bitterroot is one of the largest holders of mineral rights in the Upper Peninsula.

The Copper Range land package covers a portion of the famous Keweenawan copper district, which produced more than eight million tonnes of copper between 1845 and 1995. Bitterroot's Copper Range Lands have been subjected to limited exploration drilling since the 1960s. There are more than 100 past-producing copper mines, pits, and prospects located within or adjacent to this land package. In 2010, Bitterroot's ground-based and airborne geophysical surveys (AeroTEM) and geological mapping defined several drill targets prospective for copper and nickel. The Company has recently acquired additional leases and prospecting permits covering 2,300 acres (930 hectares) of mineral rights and is in discussions with potential joint venture partners, with the objective of drill-testing these targets later this year.

The Voyageur lands cover a diverse assemblage of Proterozoic sedimentary and volcanic rocks and have the potential to host a variety of minerals, including nickel, copper, platinum group metals and gold. Despite the extensive history of copper and iron mining in the western Upper Peninsula, the Voyageur Lands are at a relatively early stage of exploration. Within the Voyageur lands, Bitterroot has identified significant potential for platinum group metals (PGM) mineralization in the 35 square-kilometre footprint of the Echo Lake layered mafic intrusion. In 1997, Bitterroot drilled 3,270 meters (10,728 feet) in five core holes at Echo Lake. Drill hole EL-97-03 intersected ten flat-lying anomalous PGM-bearing horizons within the intrusion, with the highest-grade interval containing 1.01 grams Pt+Pd+Au/tonne over 5.42 metres (17.8 feet), within a 21.3 metre (69.8 feet) interval grading 0.52 grams Pt+Pd+Au/tonne. The Echo Lake intrusion has potential to host additional reef-type PGE mineralization along strike from the currently known mineralized zones and Ni-Cu-PGE mineralization along its contacts or within satellite intrusions and feeder dykes. "



Update September 9th, 2012 What is the real story behind it? Almost no retail following.

Bitterroot Identifies New Targets in Michigan; Shares Jump 55% Higher, Most Active on TSXV


"Following recent drilling and land acquisition activities by Rio Tinto on parcels adjoining Bitterroot Resources Ltd's (BTT.V) mineral rights in Michigan, a Bitterroot-commissioned aeromagnetic survey has been completed. Analysis of data from the aeromagnetic survey has identified a number of new targets located on Bitterroot's 100%-owned mineral rights. Several of Rio Tinto's drill collars are located within 180 metres of Bitterroot's mineral rights.
The new targets have potential to host conduit dyke systems which are favourable for the accumulation of high-value Ni/Cu/PGM-bearing sulphides similar to Rio Tinto's high-grade Eagle deposit (3.2 million tonnes @ 3.89% Ni and 3.04% Cu). The Eagle deposit is located in a similar geological setting, approximately 75 km northeast of the area covered by Bitterroot's aeromagnetic survey. The Eagle mine is under construction and is expected to be in full production in 2014."



Gold: The Best Charts and Fundamentals - Prepare For The Fireworks In Junior Miners

"We would like to share with you today the best Charts and articles, which has caught our attention recently - it is the case when the good picture is better than thousand words - some of them are screaming about the best Entry Opportunity in years we are following these markets."



Following recent drilling and land acquisition activities by Rio Tinto on parcels adjoining Bitterroot Resources Ltd's (BTT; TSX-V) mineral rights in Michigan, a Bitterroot-commissioned aeromagnetic survey has been completed. Analysis of data from the aeromagnetic survey has identified a number of new targets located on Bitterroot's 100%-owned mineral rights. Several of Rio Tinto's drill collars are located within 180 metres of Bitterroot's mineral rights, testing the area shown as "Target 2" on the attached map.

The new targets have potential to host conduit dyke systems which are favourable for the accumulation of high-value Ni/Cu/PGM-bearing sulphides similar to Rio Tinto's high-grade Eagle deposit (3.2 million tonnes @ 3.89% Ni and 3.04% Cu). The Eagle deposit is located in a similar geological setting, approximately 75 km northeast of the area covered by Bitterroot's aeromagnetic survey. The Eagle mine is under construction and is expected to be in full production in 2014.

The attached map shows magnetic signatures and land ownership on four of Bitterroot's Ni/Cu/PGM targets, which are similar to the magnetic signature of the Eagle deposit. Other targets manifest themselves as more tabular features which may represent the remnant keels of larger intrusive bodies.

Bitterroot controls a growing portfolio of nickel/copper/PGM exploration targets within its 360 square miles of wholly-owned mineral rights in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.

Management is currently assessing various financing and industry-related options for the exploration of these targets.

Mr. Charles Greig P.Geo is the Qualified Person responsible for the technical content of this news release.

ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS

Michael S. Carr
Director

Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS: This document contains statements about expected or anticipated future events and/or financial results that are forward-looking in nature and as a result, are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, such as general economic, market and business conditions, regulatory processes and actions, technical issues, new legislation, competitive conditions, the uncertainties resulting from potential delays or changes in plans, the occurrence of unexpected events and the company's ability to execute and implement its future plans. Actual results may differ materially from those projected by management. For such statements, we claim the safe harbour for forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Legislation Reform Act of 1995.





Please, do not forget, that we own stocks we are writing about and have position in these companies. We are not providing any investment advise on this blog and there is no solicitation to buy or sell any particular company

Wednesday, May 09, 2012

The Gold Bug Manifesto By Paul Krugman: End This Depression Now

    

  We highly recommend to all investors to read this book. This is what is coming. Paul Krugman describes the insolvent financial system with the honesty affordable only to Wall Street outsider. The FIAT system can survive only by expanding the monetary base further and keep the credit running. Claims will never be met, but surprisingly enough - it is not necessary - we all can just pretend that debt will be repaid one day and service the interest enough to keep Confidence in the status quo.



  Do not run to your bank yet, Debt still matters for mere mortals, but not for the Sovereigns - like US, UK or Japan - who can print their own currency in which they have borrowed before. 



  Inflation is welcomed - by the way Paul struggles to find it in the system now - if the debt expansion rate will not exceed the growth and inflation rate. We all will be fine: the level of debt to GDP will become lower with time. We can help here with the illustration of what is happening to the FIAT currency like US Dollar in this case.



  Talking about Inflation Paul excludes Food and Energy, as usual. The real inflation now is running at least at 6% already and if Gold will not affect everybody on the Main Street, Oil and high Gas prices certainly will.



  Gold Bugs can not write anything better for the Gold case as a Store of Value, than Paul Krugman did in his work, now the best investment will be to put him in charge of the FED - apparently, General Bernanke is too soft. Maybe we should all post this book to White House and Congress as well, who knows maybe he can even run for the Office?



  This is what is happening, this is what will be happening more - Fiscal Stimulus multiplied by FED printing money (to Paul's credit he insist to call the things by proper names - QE is too academically misleading for the public).
   All will be fine in this picture of the world - Inflation and rising employment is certainly better and more electable ideas than Deflation and Depression - until the Oil Shock will put economy into free fall again. The Ugly Truth is that the FED is not in charge anymore - Oil price is dictating the economic cycle now.



   We can agree on one, but most important thing - in the optimistic scenario money will be printed in any way, it will be much better if they would not be wasted just to keep "Dead Banks Walking", but invested in Infrastructure including Electrification of Transportation. 
  We will talk about the Gold Standard in our next article - it will be the logical End Game of these financial policies.

Saturday, April 21, 2012

Charles Nenner Calls For Silver and Gold Bottom - We Call For Apple To Cool Down AAPL, GLD, SLV

  

  CS. If you are long Apple, please, do not worry - we have been right only a few times. Charles Nenner Call is a much stronger proposition for the market - he wasn't right all the time as well, but some of his longer term calls are worth studying at least. 
  We decided to make our Call on Apple, because we are totally in love with its products, were calling for Steve Jobs to make an Electric iCar for years, but do not follow the company or holding any position in its stock now - we are totally disconnected with its market. And still, we can hear about Apple every day everywhere, everyone and his grandmother have invested in it and it is the newly found "sure thing". Life has taught us a very expensive lesson - that once everybody has invested in a "sure thing" the universe will switch the deck. Now, when everybody is in love with it and indexes are moving everyday with Apple's market the company can not allow to make anything wrong. Margin for any investors' tolerance is so thin now - any step back will bring the realisation that Steve Jobs is not there any more. Once it happen, selling will ignite further selling and commentators will be crying on Bubble TV "we have told you so" - then it will be time to buy again.
  We never give any Buy or Sell here - only our observations of trends and participating companies. We are covering our journey in the search for the real value and long term trends shifting our world. We have started with Gold and Silver, moved to Uranium, Copper and Zinc and now following the Energy Transition to the post carbon world, when the cheap oil will be out. Our play is on the side of strategic commodities via Junior Miners. Gold and Silver names as a Real Store of Value, Copper and Zinc as  part of electrification and Lithium, Rare Earths and Graphite names  as the core critical materials play for the electrification of our transportation. Nobody is interested in this market now and we will pull another chart for your attention.



  We were battling with Google's valuation and Housing Bubble for quite a while before and now it is time to bring our charts back.



David Gurwitz of Charles Nenner Research: Silver Cycles Have Bottomed and Gold Cycles Close





  Among other things discussed with Jim Puplava is Charles Nenner's Call on Oil going higher - Lithium, Rare Earths and Graphite will be in focus again.


  Where is the connection between the Apple, Oil and Junior Miners? Apple's Top will signify the important turn in the market place - we do not expect economy to be allowed to go bust again in the election year - but if even Apple is not immune to the gravity, the Oil prices will start to be felt more and more. We expect the talk about the QE coming back with the first signs of weakness, the usual remedy against even potential Deflation will be the lower US Dollar via running printing press - more QE.
  Catalyst for the Juniors with solid projects in Gold, Silver, Copper, Lithium, Graphite and Rare Earths will be the simple fact that you can not print any of these commodities. M&A activity in the sectors must confirm our observations - industry insiders know better where the real value is.
  Canadian Venture Exchange Index daily chart below is one to watch now - we are close to the October's and December's Lows. Change in leadership in the market place and sector rotation can even beat the juniors' weak summer market seasonality this year.


Saturday, April 07, 2012

Gold and rare earths juniors in the bargain basement - Lundin

  Update: April 29th, 2012 - CDNX Daily chart shows some signals of life coming back. 

  We could not agree more with Brien Lundin - time has proven his calls before and time will tell us again whether he is right now.




Consolidation Potential for Lithium Juniors GXY.ax, LI.v, ILC.v, ORE.ax, RM.v



'We have been talking here about the security of supply of strategic commodities for quite a while. All major players in Lithium batteries market prefer to keep chips close and bought strategic stakes in lithium developers. Now we have a consolidation in Lithium junior miners started by Galaxy Resources. From the four Lithium darlings we are following here: International Lithium, Rodinia Lithium, Lithium One and Orocodre - Lithium One is taken out now.

James West - the founder of Midas Letter - still has his golden touch.James West has been talking about Lithium One and International Lithium in his recent Energy Report and now one of his picks in this sector is bought out. Galaxy move will add Lithium and Potash brine in Argentina to the portfolio of hard rock mining lithium in Australia, lithium chemical plant in China and lithium battery plant in the making in China as well. Can we talk about vertical integration in the Lithium industry already now?"




MineWeb:


Gold and rare earths juniors in the bargain basement - Lundin

Brien Lundin, chief executive of Jefferson Financial says he's slowly accumulating gold and rare earths sector juniors on the cheap that have big news in their forecasts. Gold Report interview.

Author: Brian Sylvester

Posted:  Saturday , 07 Apr 2012


TORONTO -
The Gold Report: You've compared the gold market to the weather because it's about that predictable. What does your experience tell you about navigating a market like this?
Brien Lundin: You have to be nimble and keep your eye on the big picture. Every asset class is searching for a trend. The U.S. economy is in transition. The equity markets are in transition. Everything is in limbo searching for the next trend line. There's just no telling whether that next direction is upward or downward.

In times like this, investors need to look beyond the day-to-day headlines. They need to keep the bigger picture in mind, focus on buying value on the dips and not getting too aggressive in any case.

TGR: You were recently at the Prospectors and Developers Association Conference in Toronto. What's the common refrain you're hearing from investors and what's your response?

BL: They're wondering when things are going to turn around. I wish I could provide them with the answer because I'm searching for that answer myself. We needed calmer markets, which we have now. We don't have the dancing-along-the-precipice type of markets that we had earlier this year when it seemed Europe could crater at any moment. Now we need to have some recognition that there is going to continue to be an easy-money environment as a backdrop and that there will continue to be monetary inflation to support the commodity markets and, most important, gold. Until we have fairly steady, non-crisis-driven markets with a consensus toward monetary easing, we won't see investors turn to the more speculative assets, such as mining shares.

TGR: Many gold investors believe that continued growth in the U.S. economy will eliminate the need for further quantitative easing (QE) by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which could suppress the gold price. You argue that there is already $1.5 trillion in the system that hasn't been deployed by the Federal Reserve. In February, you wrote, "This money officially doesn't exist. Until the nation's banks start withdrawing it to make loans and insert the funds into the economy, sustained U.S. economic growth, in other words, won't be the end of liquidity injections. Instead, it will mark the beginning of a new phase, as the velocity of today's huge overhanging money supply accelerates and inflation truly kicks in." That sounds promising for precious metals prices, but are banks ready to start lending their hoards of cash?

BL: Simply put, they aren't yet. What I was talking about was a scenario of economic growth, one in which the banks would not only be able to start lending again but would also be eager to start lending to capture that greater margin by creating loans. Under that scenario of economic growth, bank lending would increase and there would be a shot of adrenaline hitting the market as reserves become currency.

The key is that so much debt and currency have already been created that gold wins in virtually any economic scenario, whether it's economic growth or a continued easy-money environment in a more sluggish economy. Under either scenario over the long term, gold is a winner precisely because there's already so much debt and currency.

TGR: Do you have any timeline for that scenario to take place?

BL: One of the important timelines is presented by the presidential election in the U.S. That is going to be a key inflection point for the markets. If the current administration is retained, there would be more easy-money policies. Those policies won't suddenly end if we see a Republican elected, however, because there's been so much debt created in the U.S. and Europe. There's no way to escape that burden through economic growth, austerity plans or tax hikes. We cannot manage that mountain of debt that's already been accumulated. The only way to address it is through monetary inflation, by making the debt less valuable by increasing the quantity of dollars and euros.

TGR: You can't do that with gold.

BL: That's why gold is gold. As J.P. Morgan is rumored to have said, "Gold is money. That's it."

TGR: Gold and silver equities have lagged the prices of their respective commodities since December 2010. What tangible move in the gold price is necessary to lift share prices to float the boat of all these junior companies? They're not even moving on good drill results right now.

BL: It's as much a matter of time as price. It's not just a matter of getting a $100/oz, $200/oz or a $300/oz rise in the gold price, which, of course, would move the juniors if it occurred in a steady fashion against the backdrop of normalcy in the markets and economy. That rise would need to occur over a period of time long enough so that investors would be comfortable in taking on risk. Juniors cannot thrive in an environment where investors are searching for safety.

TGR: As an approach to the moribund gold equities market, you recommend a stick-to-your-knitting strategy of continuing the "slow but steady accumulation of undervalued companies with news on the way." Are you expecting some positive news in the near future?

BL: There are a lot of bargains out there that aren't just grassroots exploration companies with an idea and not much more. These are companies that either have resources or are very likely to turn out very positive news in the near term.

TGR: The rare earth elements sector took a big hit in 2011, but you still see value in a few plays. Tell us why rare earths still remain on your radar?

BL: The economic fundamentals have not changed. These plays go in and out of fashion in the markets and there are bursts of buying here and there. A number of these plays are still much undervalued.

TGR: It's been a pleasure speaking with you.

With a career spanning three decades in the investment markets, Brien Lundin serves as president and CEO of Jefferson Financial, a highly regarded publisher of market analyses and producer of investment-oriented events. Under the Jefferson Financial umbrella, Lundin publishes and edits Gold Newsletter, a cornerstone of precious metals advisories since 1971. He also hosts the New Orleans Investment Conference, the oldest and most respected investment event of its kind.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Canadian goldbug stakes his name on McEwen Mining: The Battle of Los Azules: TNR Gold vs McEwen Mining in Copper Showdown with Xstrata tnr.v, ilc.v, czx.v. mai.v, uxg, xta.l, abx, ng, gg, bhp, vale, fcx, abx, ng, tck, kgc, rio, nem, swc, anto.l,


  

Note: we are not sure that this particular Judge will be involved in this court hearing.


Disclaimer (loosely based on investment bankers' small print): please read our full disclaimer, nothing on this website or any links provided should be relied upon in any way and nobody will accept any responsibility in any case.


Update February 12th, 2012. CNNMoney: 

$1.7M of MUX sold by Allen Ambrose

We guess, that at some stage Mr Allen Ambrose - former CEO of Minera Andes, will be questioned during the Los Azules litigation on what exactly were his intentions explained in his emails presented by TNR Gold litigation counsel in Amended Claim.

Allen Ambrose emails:

24. "Next we should look at our alternatives to take out the Solitario (TNR Gold - S) agreement..."

TNR Gold vs Minera Andes (McEwen Mining now) and MIM (Xstrata now).
From Page 11

Part 3: Legal Basis

http://bit.ly/xhdqag


Now we have more information on Los Azules, McEwen mining and litigation with TNR Gold.

Reuters:


"McEwen Mining projects include the Gold Bar project in the U.S. state of Nevada, El Gallo in Mexico, both from the U.S. Gold stable. Its San Jose silver/gold mine and Los Azules copper property in Argentina are part of the Minera Andes portfolio.
McEwen said the company will either seek a partner for or sell Los Azules, one of the largest undeveloped copper properties in the world outside the control of a major miner. The project would cost about $3 billion to develop.
"We think there's room to expand the resource and then from there to talk to players that have more money and more skills than we have in-house, to develop a project of this size," said McEwen.
"Another option would be if someone comes along with an interesting bid that would more than address all of our financial requirements for development capital on our gold properties."

  We hope that McEwen Mining has a clear understanding now that Los Azules property title must be cleared from any litigation suppressing its valuation before any transaction will be viable. Will the newly formed company decide to run the risk to lose in the court up to 2/3 of Los Azules deposit now? S&P 500 dreams and ongoing litigation are not the best friends. It is very interesting to see in the new McEwen Mining presentation that Los Azules is already discribed like it supposed to be and like it was before the latest TNR Gold claims and the "merger" idea: "Los Azules - Argentina One of the World's largest Undeveloped Copper Deposits". Further drilling to be started this month and will bring more value to the deposit - last drilling season 2011 Minera Andes was very modest and can not find the spectacular drilling results were "material enough to increase the resource base at the Los Azules"
  Newly created McEwen Mining website  states:

"A Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Los Azules project indicates a Net Present Value of $2.8 billion at a discount rate of 8%. At the base case copper price of $3.00/lb copper, the project has an Internal Rate of Return of 21.4% and a payback of about three years. The production rate is envisioned to be 100,000 tonnes per day with a life of mine average 169,000 tonnes per year of copper contained in a conventional flotation concentrate. The pre-production capital cost is estimated at $2.9 billion. Details may be found in the Updated Preliminary Assessment technical report dated December 16, 2010, can be downloaded here."...


  After BMG merged with Newmont 2000, the BMG properties were acquired by Solitario Resources, a Canadian junior exploration company (now called TNR Resources), and an individual from San Juan named Hugo Bosque. MIM optioned the Solitario property in May 2004. Xstrata succeeded MIM, and in April 2007 it exercised its option to acquire Solitario’s concessions. In 2007, Minera Andes and Xstrata entered into an option agreement that consolidated Minera Andes’ and Xstrata’s properties. In October 2009, Xstrata declined to continue to participate in the project, and as a result Xstrata assigned its properties to McEwen Mining, and the company now owns 100 percent of the project. TNR, as successor to Solitario has lodged a legal action in the Superior Court of British Columbia claiming that it has the right to back-in to up to 25 percent of the Solitario concessions; however, McEwen Mining believes that TNR’s claim is without merit and is contesting TNR’s claim."


  It totally forgets to mention about the Real Value at stake in this litigation (even after litigation discounts provided by Raymond James and RBC for Los Azules in justification of Minera Andes value) and latest TNR Gold claims - we are not sure how it works with listing in US and why shareholders have to look for the proper description and risks associated with this litigation in the small print in filing again, but about it below:


"January 11, 2012
TNR Gold Provides Update on Litigation with Minera Andes Over the Los Azules Project

Background to the Los Azules Litigation

The Los Azules dispute involves certain properties constituting the northern half of the project (the "Solitario Properties") which are subject to an option agreement (the "Solitario Option") between Solitario and Xstrata Copper, a predecessor in title to Minera Andes. The Company disputes that Xstrata's expenditure obligations under the option were properly met and asserts that the option was not properly exercised. On that basis, the Company and Solitario are asking the Court to convey 100% of the Solitario Properties to the Company or to award the Company damages equivalent to the value of the Solitario Properties.

The Company is also seeking rectification and recognition of its right under the Solitario Option to 'back in' to 25% of the equity of the Solitario Properties; together with a declaration that a disputed property adjacent to the Solitario Properties and known as Escorpio IV was not subject to the Solitario Option and that the Company has retained ownership of this property."






Update January 20th 2012:


  In order to have one of the the "largest litigation cases in the history of BC Supreme Court" you need one of the largest Copper deposits in the world, very big ambitions and bunch of emails describing the way of thinking how to get it all and "take out of the game" the junior partner. Now US Gold shareholders will join the litigation lawyers' party after the merger with Minera Andes. We continue to monitor the situation and implications for the newly listed in the US McEwen Mining.

  After the completed take over of Minera Andes by US Gold, McEwen Mining will become the party of litigation. Damage control at the expense of Minera Andes shareholders will give some room now to McEwen Mining - combined company can better withstand the litigation risk of potential lost of up to 2/3 of Los Azules deposit, which high grade core is located on former TNR Gold properties,  according to the published by Minera Andes maps. TNR Gold's offer for the settlement is off the table now and the key to ongoing litigation will be further discoveries and called witnesses in preparation to the trial. Things will be getting very interesting now. One of the questions to discover is why Xstrata has decided not to exercise its own option for 51% of Los Azules with Minera Andes?


 "We must admit, that all this time we were at lost why has Xstrata decided not to exercise its own option with Minera Andes for 51% of all Los Azules in October 2009? Why has the Copper company like Xstrata decided just to walk away from such a deposit like Los Azules, when copper market was turning up with the recovering economy? Does Rob McEwen really think that he outsmarted Xstrata for the free gift here? Now we have some indications that, maybe, TNR Gold litigation team has found the real reasons behind Xstrata's move out of the project."



  We have an interesting take from Joel Chury at VantageWire.com on Los Azules litigation. The story is making its way into the mainstream media now, we have been covering it here for years and hope that this year will bring the resolution  to this case, which is simply too big to miss now.



TNR Gold Offers To Settle Los Azules Litigation With Minera Andes For Us$125 Million



Mineweb:


"...But, according to court documents, TNR Gold now alleges Minera Andes and Xstrata failed to meet those expenditures as they rushed to hit the $1 million mark so they could as quickly as possible "take-out" TNR Gold's 25-percent back-in right on the property...

Moreover, TNR Gold charged, Xstrata never intended to produce a feasibility study. To that alleged end, in its application to advance its new claim TNR Gold quoted an email apparently sent between two Xstrata employees at the time. According to TNR Gold it read, "Yes, taking Solitario (TNR Gold subsidiary) out of the game is a good idea. All we have to do now is not complete a feasibility study within the next three years!.."

Mineweb has made a very good summary of the case and different views of the parties involved and it will be a good idea to read the full article.



Emails mentioned above are particularly entertaining and can be found in the document below:



  Can we say that George Macintosh, QC has started his 2012 "exploration" season with this move? First, we have to congratulate him with making Best Lawyers in Canada 2012 and Lawyer of the Year 2012. We are not sure why he is in charge in this particular case and leading TNR Gold litigation team, but things are getting interesting by the day and now we have, quite surprising for many shareholders, the number on the TNR Gold's claims, which must be still discounted for the potential early settlement. Idea of the settlement was rejected after "careful consideration" within 48 hours by Minera Andes and they insist with US Gold that:

"The Board of Directors of Minera Andes remains firmly of the view that the proposed business combination with US Gold on the terms of the arrangement agreement dated September 22, 2011 is fair to shareholders and in the best interests of Minera Andes and recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the arrangement at the special meeting on January 19, 2012."


"The Board of Directors of US Gold, including the Special Committee of independent directors formed to evaluate the transaction with Minera Andes, remains of the view that the proposed business combination with Minera Andes on the terms of the arrangement agreement dated September 22, 2011 is fair to shareholders and in the best interests of US Gold and its shareholders and recommends that shareholders vote in favour of this transaction at the special meeting to be held on January 19, 2012."

  Public offer of TNR Gold is valid until January 18th, 2012 but it looks like there is no interest even to discuss it with parties involved and decisions were made very quickly. We just hope, for the sake of shareholders, that legal documents in this case are getting more proper attention and time allocated.
  We can understand Mr McEwen - he is the largest shareholder of both companies and knows them very well. He knows where the value is and how to buy it in a best way for all parties involved...from both sides. We even join him in his worries on BNN another daythat nobody really reads all those 500 pages of Merger Info Circulars these days. Everything should be fine - people managing other people's money do not have time as well to read everything.
  What will happen if somebody is still reading and even has invested in a calculator? These ideas will be a pure speculation from our side and we urge you to base all your decisions only on official documents (even better if they are from BC Supreme Court) and after consulting your certified and trusted financial adviser."

Update 01/18/2012: 

Minera Andes Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 San Jose Mine Production


-- Drilling at the Los Azules Copper Project is expected to resume by the end of January. A total of 8,000 meters has been planned in order totest the potential to increase the size of the resource."


Please, do not forget, that we own stocks we are writing about and have position in these companies. We are not providing any investment advise on this blog and there is no solicitation to buy or sell any particular company here. Always consult with your qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.



According to published by Minera Andes maps, high grade core of Los Azules deposit is located on former TNR Gold properties.




VantageMining:

The Battle of Los Azules: TNR Gold vs Minera Andes in Copper Showdown

January 16, 2012 at 11:25:30 EST by G. Joel Chury

Last week witnessed a tit-for-tat press release exchange between $11M market cap TNR Gold [TNR – TSX.V] and $549M market cap Minera Andes [MAI – TSX] over a hotly contested Argentinian copper property known as the Los Azules. Projected to produce upwards of 375 million pounds of copper annually, it’s no wonder that each party is fighting tooth and nail to retain as much interest in the project as possible for their shareholders.

If not settled before the clash lands each party in the Supreme Court of British Columbia come November, a multitude of scenarios could unfold. If Minera Andes and its leader Rob McEwen (CEO of both Minera Andes and US Gold) get their way, the court would dismiss TNR’s claims and the project would move on unfettered. But, through the claims levied by TNR, the court could also dish out one of two outcomes that would be in TNR’s favour.

The initial claim would potentially award TNR its claimed right to “back in” a 25% interest of the proposed mine site, which in total holds indicated resources of some 2.2 billion pounds of copper. But even more gasp-worthy would be the scenario for which could flip 100% ownership back to the company on a critical technicality.

Some background explanation at this point is important, and the details from both sides remain dicey at best. To start, the property began in TNR’s hand, as an option agreement was arranged with Xstrata Copper in 2007. Under the terms of the deal, Xstrata could acquire 100% interest in the property by meeting a $1 million exploration expenditure requirement.

In early September, 2007, TNR Gold originally signed off on the option agreement, stating in a press release, “All cash payments due by May 15, 2008 have now been received. All exploration expenditures have also been incurred."

However, according to court documents, TNR Gold alleges Xstrata and subsequently Minera Andes (which later acquired the rights from Xstrata) failed to actually meet the expenditure requirements, through an alleged rush to hit the $1 million mark in order to “take-out” TNR Gold's 25-percent back-in right on the property as quickly as possible.

TNR’s claim is that it was essentially duped into signing off on a back-in right with an expiry. In the final draft of the option agreement stipulated TNR Gold could acquire a 25% stake over a 120-day period if Xstrata (or later Minera Andes) completed a feasibility study within 36 months of exercising the TNR Gold-Los Azules option.

The dispute heats up around the time-limit clause, which TNR Gold states publicly never was discussed with Xstrata, and that initial drafts of the option didn’t include. The allegation is that the time limit was added after initial discussions on the option agreement were concluded, and that were unnoticed for years after they were added.

It is of TNR’s opinion that Xstrata never intended to produce a feasibility study to begin with. Brought forward in the claims is a quote from an email between two Xstrata employees at the time which TNR Gold claims read, "Yes, taking Solitario (TNR Gold subsidiary) out of the game is a good idea. All we have to do now is not complete a feasibility study within the next three years!"

That said, 36 months passed without a feasibility study, and in early 2010 TNR Gold passed along to Minera Andes that it wanted to exercise its back-in right by waiving the feasibility requirement. This marks the beginning of the disagreements between the parties, as Minera Andes disagreed with TNR Gold's claim.

Minera Andes’ claim was that TNR’s back in right was dependent upon the production of a feasibility study, which was never produced, and publicly declared so on April 1, 2010. The company added, "Further, Minera Andes disputes the legal ability to waive this condition."

This is the position that Minera Andes is taking, asking the court to see its side that any back-in notice from TNR prior to or on April 23, 2010 be null, void and of no force and effect. The point from Minera Andes’ side is that a feasibility study must’ve been completed on the project prior to TNR being entitled to exercise its back-in right.

Enter TNR’s second mode of attack. According to TNR, they claim that Xstrata and Minera Andes inflated their exploration expenditures by including 250 metres of 1,574.15 metres of drilling outside of the claims in question into the $1 million expenditure requirement. If true, TNR’s point is that Xstrata didn’t actually meet the conditions necessary for exercising the option, and thus were in breach of their agreement. Thus the latest court claim that TNR has requested asks in return the northern (most valuable) Los Azules properties or equivalent damage; A bold move on behalf of TNR, which undoubtedly upset Minera Andes.

In turn, Minera Andes and its leader McEwen outwardly rejected the insufficient expenditures claim, labeling TNR’s arguments as “creative” and “strange.” To be fair to Minera Andes, an official TNR press release did indeed claim to have signed off on the expenditures.

For its part Minera Andes categorically rejected the new claim it had made insufficient exploration expenditures at Los Azules in a press release responding to the new allegation. And on Friday Minera Andes' McEwen called all of TNR Gold's court arguments "creative" and referred to the most recent concerning exploration spending as strange.

Which brings us up to last week’s exchanges between the parties. On Wednesday, TNR put out a press release pointing out that the impending merger of Minera Andes with US Gold will not effect TNR’s resolve with the litigation. A Notary Public has been engaged, accompanied by Argentinean mining police, to conduct a physical site verification of the Escorpio IV mining property as to whether or not Minera Andes trespassed on the claims.

Meanwhile, while the party was marching towards the property for investigation, TNR reiterated an offer made on January 10, 2012 for a settlement amount of US$125 million to drop the lawsuit. The conditions of the settlement were amended to extend an acceptance period for the offer to this Wednesday, January 18, 2012.

Kirill Klip, Chairman of TNR stated: "We strongly believe that our settlement offer is in the best interests of the shareholders of TNR, Minera Andes and US Gold. The Los Azules project is considered to represent one of the largest undeveloped copper projects in the world but the current legal uncertainty over its legal ownership is detracting from the value of the project for shareholders of all three companies."

The response from Minera Andes did not indicate that the settlement would be accepted. After consideration, Minera Andes responded on Friday, stating:

“After due consideration and having received the input of the Special Committee, the Board of Directors of Minera Andes resolved unanimously to reject the offer from TNR Gold as unreasonable. Minera Andes continues to reject TNR Gold's claims and intends to continue to vigorously defend against those claims and looks forward to resolving this matter in the courts of British Columbia.”

So, as the clock ticks down towards the Wednesday deadline, it appears that this ongoing legal battle will see its day in court. Set for November, the details on the claims are getting more interesting in the lead up, with much to gain and/or lose by both parties. Should Minera Andes win its side of the argument, the Los Azules will move on into the highly valuable production it is set to provide.

In turn, should TNR receive a favourable outcome of either of its claims (25% or 100%), the project would most likely instantly vault the value of TNR in the eyes of the market. And with the third outcome, Minera Andes agreeing to the settlement, TNR would receive US$125 million, which equates to more than ten times TNR’s market cap. From an outsider’s viewpoint, the moves by TNR are a Hail Mary pass, that could vault the company forward, and it’s obvious why this saga continues, as there’s just too much to lose from both parties.

G. Joel Chury
Editor in Chief
VantageWire.com

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Disclaimer: No information in this article should be construed as individualized investment advice. A licensed financial advisor should be consulted prior to making any investment decision. VantageWire makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of the VantageWire only and are subject to change without notice. VantageWire assumes no warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or completeness of any information provided within this article and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission. The author of this article does not currently own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this article. Furthermore, VantageWire assumes no liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit, which you may incur as a result of the use and existence of the information, provided within this article.

G. Joel Chury"

Joel Chury has continued discussion at Bullion Bulls Canada:

Re: TNR Gold vs Minera Andes/US Gold

JC:

As many of you already have been following, there is a proposed merger on the table between Minera Andes [MAI] and US Gold [UXG]. But what may have slipped through the cracks is this story involving Minera Andes and TNR Gold [TNR], with regarding a lawsuit over the Los Azules copper project in Argentina.

TNR claims that it has the right to "back in" for 25% of the project based on a previous option deal with Xstrata Copper that would've let Xstrata obtain 100% of the property that was previously held outright by TNR. Minera Andes, who acquired the rigths from Xstrata, doesn't believe that TNR has the right to do so, but the dispute goes further...

TNR also claims that Xstrata didn't meet the $1m expenditure requirement that would've earned the property from TNR. To be fair, Minera Andes has pointed out that TNR did previously release a statement confirming that Xstrata had in fact met the requirements. But now, in retrospect, it looks as though TNR's claim has changed to state that Xstrata had included drilling operations outside of the disputed lands in their $1m calculation.

Anyways, the lawsuit is set up for a legal battle that will take place in the BC Supreme Court in November of 2012. Both sides are lobbing press release bombs at each other, and the outcome is still very much up for grabs.

I gave a much better account of the story on VantageWire today. I'm very interested in your takes on the case, and how it could all play out. My intention is to follow the story all the way through to its conclusion."

JN:

"Fascinating stuff Joel, and congrats on your new gig!

Now HERE is something that I can sink my own teeth into: a tricky LEGAL battle between two mining companies.

Obviously (as an outsider) it is totally impossible for me to realistically "handicap" the dispute and predict a likely winner. However, while the normal assumption in contested legal battles is that the party with "deeper pockets" will win, there are a few reasons not to write-off "the little guy" here.

First of all, based on Joel's presentation of the facts (and my own interpretation) it appears that Minera Andes "position" (and their interpretation) of this business deal at least suggests that Minera Andes (and Xstrata before it) were attempting to take advantage of TNR. Courts do NOT like it when either a plaintiff or defendant attempts to argue an "interpretation" of a business deal which results in ONE SIDE obviously ending up with "the short-end of the stick".

So IF TNR's interpretation of this agreement is fair/reasonable given the ENTIRE CONTEXT of these business dealings, there is a reasonable chance of it emerging with at least a partial victory here - which financially would represent a MAJOR victory for the company.

Let me add that even with my legal background I tend to shy away from "betting" on companies involved in legal disputes. The combination of LESS than "perfect information", the unpredictability of most litigation, and the fact that the dispute could be DRAWN-OUT over an extended period of time usually causes me to wait for the dust to settle first.

In that respect, I draw a clear distinction between true "legal battles" like this (where there are OBVIOUS issues to be tried in court) versus the "nuisance law-suits" we see filed against these companies with quite a bit of regularity. I tend to NOT place much credence in these minor legal disputes - as history shows the vast majority (i.e. almost all of them) never amount to anything significant."

JC:

"It's a tough call to say who will come out on top. Both sides have very compelling arguments, and I believe there is a lot more to come in the days between now and the court date.

Minera Andes appears to have a great case, that includes TNR's press release stating that the obligations were met. From their standpoint, they haven't done anything wrong... and that they obtained their rights from Xstrata fair and square. Now the piece that's important is whether Xstrata had the rights to give in the first place.

On the other side, TNR could show that Xstrata never quite spent the $1M required to obtain 100%. If so, this is a whole new ball game. If TNR does prove this side of the case, then the $125M settlement offer that Minera Andes could've taken along the way looks cheap in comparison. Or else, should TNR prove that it still has the right to back in for that 25%, it's still a big deal for the $11M mkt cap TNR. It's pretty obvious as to why they would fight so hard, and why this has stretched on for as long as it has.

We'll see what happens... but I'll be sure to keep following it to the conclusion. Be sure to check out my updates."
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