Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label recession. Show all posts

Monday, September 09, 2013

Taper Anyone? Billionaires Dumping Stocks, Economist Knows Why

   


 It will be very interesting situation if FED is not be able to start to taper in any meaningful way. Any sign of the lost control spikes rates even further and coupled with Oil cycle they will bring economy down again.
  Even just talking the talk about tapering has already doubled the rates from the low. Gold is already back from its recent orchestrated crash and money will flow into the hard assets again.

Gold Short Squeeze: COMEX Deliverable Gold Bullion Drops To Levels Not Seen Since 2003 - Claims Per Ounce Around 55 GLD, MUX, TNR.v

"Jesse has summarised the COMEX explosive situation for us this week. Gold LBMA fractional reserve system is under The Bank Run now.
  Big boyz know too well about it and have positioned themselves well in advance before the Syria escalation. We are just wondering: How would they know about it in advance?
  And by the way, this is what happened with Gold after 2003:"


Peter Schiff: On FED & Gold - Jobs Report Confirms QE Isn't The Only Thing Not Working GLD

"Taper anyone? Jobless "recovery" puts FED in the corner, there is no exit from QE with the record of U.S. population on food stamps and out of the working force all together."


Charles Nenner to Moneynews: US Headed for Recession and It's 'Going to Be Bad'

"Charles Nenner talks about the potential of another recession in the U.S. and his Call must be taken seriously. Surging rates these days even before the beginning of the Tapering will put enormous pressure on the consumers and coupled with high gas prices his prediction can become true again."


Adam Hamilton: Gold and GLD Exodus Reversal MUX, TNR.v

"Adam Hamilton provides now a very compelling case for the General Equity Markets and GLD relationships and correlations and if you do not think that trees can grow straight up to the sky we are at the historical point in the markets development in the age of FED central planning now." 
  

MoneyNews:

Billionaires Dumping Stocks, Economist Knows Why


Despite the 6.5% stock market rally over the last three months, a handful of billionaires are quietly dumping their American stocks . . . and fast.

Warren Buffett, who has been a cheerleader for U.S. stocks for quite some time, is dumping shares at an alarming rate. He recently complained of “disappointing performance” in dyed-in-the-wool American companies like Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, and Kraft Foods.

In the latest filing for Buffett’s holding company Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett has been drastically reducing his exposure to stocks that depend on consumer purchasing habits. Berkshire sold roughly 19 million shares of Johnson & Johnson, and reduced his overall stake in “consumer product stocks” by 21%. Berkshire Hathaway also sold its entire stake in California-based computer parts supplier Intel.

With 70% of the U.S. economy dependent on consumer spending, Buffett’s apparent lack of faith in these companies’ future prospects is worrisome.

Unfortunately Buffett isn’t alone.

Fellow billionaire John Paulson, who made a fortune betting on the subprime mortgage meltdown, is clearing out of U.S. stocks too. During the second quarter of the year, Paulson’s hedge fund, Paulson & Co., dumped 14 million shares of JPMorgan Chase. The fund also dumped its entire position in discount retailer Family Dollar and consumer-goods maker Sara Lee.

Finally, billionaire George Soros recently sold nearly all of his bank stocks, including shares of JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs. Between the three banks, Soros sold more than a million shares.

So why are these billionaires dumping their shares of U.S. companies?

After all, the stock market is still in the midst of its historic rally. Real estate prices have finally leveled off, and for the first time in five years are actually rising in many locations. And the unemployment rate seems to have stabilized.

It’s very likely that these professional investors are aware of specific research that points toward a massive market correction, as much as 90%.

One such person publishing this research is Robert Wiedemer, an esteemed economist and author of the New York Times best-selling book Aftershock.

Editor’s NoteWiedemer Gives Proof for His Dire Predictions in This Shocking Interview.

Before you dismiss the possibility of a 90% drop in the stock market as unrealistic, consider Wiedemer’s credentials.

In 2006, Wiedemer and a team of economists accurately predicted the collapse of the U.S. housing market, equity markets, and consumer spending that almost sank the United States. They published their research in the book America’s Bubble Economy.

The book quickly grabbed headlines for its accuracy in predicting what many thought would never happen, and quickly established Wiedemer as a trusted voice.

A columnist at Dow Jones said the book was “one of those rare finds that not only predicted the subprime credit meltdown well in advance, it offered Main Street investors a winning strategy that helped avoid the forty percent losses that followed . . .”

The chief investment strategist at Standard & Poor’s said that Wiedemer’s track record “demands our attention.”

And finally, the former CFO of Goldman Sachs said Wiedemer’s “prescience in (his) first book lends credence to the new warnings. This book deserves our attention.”

In the interview for his latest blockbuster Aftershock, Wiedemer says the 90% drop in the stock market is “a worst-case scenario,” and the host quickly challenged this claim.

Wiedemer calmly laid out a clear explanation of why a large drop of some sort is a virtual certainty.

It starts with the reckless strategy of the Federal Reserve to print a massive amount of money out of thin air in an attempt to stimulate the economy.

“These funds haven’t made it into the markets and the economy yet. But it is a mathematical certainty that once the dam breaks, and this money passes through the reserves and hits the markets, inflation will surge,” said Wiedemer.

“Once you hit 10% inflation, 10-year Treasury bonds lose about half their value. And by 20%, any value is all but gone. Interest rates will increase dramatically at this point, and that will cause real estate values to collapse. And the stock market will collapse as a consequence of these other problems.”

See the Proof: Get the Full Interview by Clicking Here Now.

And this is where Wiedemer explains why Buffett, Paulson, and Soros could be dumping U.S. stocks:

“Companies will be spending more money on borrowing costs than business expansion costs. That means lower profit margins, lower dividends, and less hiring. Plus, more layoffs.”

No investors, let alone billionaires, will want to own stocks with falling profit margins and shrinking dividends. So if that’s why Buffett, Paulson, and Soros are dumping stocks, they have decided to cash out early and leave Main Street investors holding the bag.

But Main Street investors don’t have to see their investment and retirement accounts decimated for the second time in five years.

Wiedemer’s video interview also contains a comprehensive blueprint for economic survival that’s really commanding global attention.

Now viewed over 40 million times, it was initially screened for a relatively small, private audience. But the overwhelming amount of feedback from viewers who felt the interview should be widely publicized came with consequences, as various online networks repeatedly shut it down and affiliates refused to house the content.

“People were sitting up and taking notice, and they begged us to make the interview public so they could easily share it,” said Newsmax Financial Publisher Aaron DeHoog.

“Our real concern,” DeHoog added, “is the effect even if only half of Wiedemer’s predictions come true.

“That’s a scary thought for sure. But we want the average American to be prepared, and that is why we will continue to push this video to as many outlets as we can. We want the word to spread.”


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Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Charles Nenner to Moneynews: US Headed for Recession and It's 'Going to Be Bad'

  

  Charles Nenner talks about the potential of another recession in the U.S. and his Call must be taken seriously. Surging rates these days even before the beginning of the Tapering will put enormous pressure on the consumers and coupled with high gas prices his prediction can become true again.



Adam Hamilton: Gold and GLD Exodus Reversal MUX, TNR.v

"Adam Hamilton provides now a very compelling case for the General Equity Markets and GLD relationships and correlations and if you do not think that trees can grow straight up to the sky we are at the historical point in the markets development in the age of FED central planning now." 




Charles Nenner Research: Cycles Say Gold is Bottoming.

"If the history is of any guidance, today's BOE statement and Pound Slaughtering is the sign of things to come in the US Former Reserve Currency Of Choice Land. We will remind everybody that QE was first started by BOE and it was called as it is: Money Printing."

Money News:

Charles Nenner to Moneynews: US Headed for Recession and It's 'Going to Be Bad'

Monday, 19 Aug 2013 

By Glenn J. Kalinoski and Kathleen Walter

Technical analyst Charles Nenner didn’t mince words when asked about the United States facing another recession.

"It's going to be bad," Nenner told Newsmax TV in an exclusive interview.

"It's very scary because we didn't have a lot of growth and when this economic expansion is over, we're going to be in trouble," the founder and president of the Charles Nenner Research Center said.

Watch our exclusive video. Story continues below.



"We didn't leverage enough. Cycles go up, go down, take three and a half, four, five years, but if you almost don't jump up and then you're jumping down, then you've jumped down from a much lower level."

He said that "the economy is not going to do much this year. It's going to pick up a little bit next year into the third quarter and then it's going to be messy again."

The economy will be fairly stable until the end of next year, "then we're going back into recession," said Nenner, who correctly called the 2007 downturn.

He also warned that the economy faces other problems as well, such as deflation, commonly defined as a decrease in the general price level of goods and services. Deflation occurs when the inflation rate falls below 0 percent.

"Deflation is a very serious problem we can still have to deal with and that's much worse than inflation," he said. "So my fear is deflation, not inflation. Inflation will come, it will take another three years until it starts."

He added that he doesn’t see much improvement when it comes to the nation's unemployment level.

"The problem is structural," he said. "There was a lot of outsourcing and then a lot of jobs … don't need a lot of people anymore because of the Internet and IT and all of the technology. People have to think a little bit in a different way and it's going to be very hard to get the unemployment down."

The wide-ranging interview turned to the outlook for gold. "It's a short term trade because it's going to bounce around," he said.

"Until we really have inflation coming, I don't see gold going back to the highs. It will go two and a half thousand. It's just making a bottom slowly, and we are boost[ing] longer term on gold, but it will take time."

He also discussed his outlook for stocks.

"We had a target of 1,720 on the S&P, so once we were [at] about 1,700 we sold all the stocks," he said. "The sentiment [is] too extreme. The market is very risky, so we don't go in anymore. We've been out now for the last three, four months and we're just standing aside."

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Sunday, November 07, 2010

Peak Oil: Jeff Rubin on Oil, Recessions and End of Globalisation tnr.v, czx.v, alk.ax, lmr.v, tsla, rm.v, nup.ax, srz.ax, usa.ax, jnn.v, sqm, fmc, roc, li.v, wlc.v, clq.v, lit, nsany, byddf, gm, dai, rno.pa, hev, aone, vlnc



"What Is The Electric Car" trailer. This is the right energy for us. It is not about the money any more - it is about our own right to survive. Bankrupt financial system will not be able to cope with another recession after oil will pass 100 USD per barrel again. Listen to Jeff Rubin and listen carefully, please. Jim Puplava has put a new piece on Peak Oil on his webcast this week as well."

"Catalyst: Peak Oil, REE and Lithium: The Next Oil Shock? We are talking here about the powerful mega trend Inflation multiplied by Peak Oil situation - we have to move and readjust our society. Our Energy diet is not sustainable any more. We are lucky in a sense that there is technology available to us to survive the Oil Shock if we will all move fast - Electric Cars. It is our Next Big Thing and at the heart of this disruptive technology lie strategic commodities: REE and Lithium."


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Monday, December 01, 2008

USA is in Recession from 2007.

We were talking about recession for a while here from last year. It does not mean much, just maybe we have a chance to be right one more time on US Dollar and Gold. Another thing could be that Reinflated recovery in worthless dollar term could be closer then a lot of people think and Market bottom could very well already happen.
"It's official: Recession since Dec. '07
The National Bureau of Economic Research declares what most Americans already knew: the downturn has been going on for some time.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The National Bureau of Economic Research said Monday that the U.S. has been in a recession since December 2007, making official what most Americans have already believed about the state of the economy .
The NBER is a private group of leading economists charged with dating the start and end of economic downturns. It typically takes a long time after the start of a recession to declare its start because of the need to look at final readings of various economic measures.
The NBER said that the deterioration in the labor market throughout 2008 was one key reason why it decided to state that the recession began last year."

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Intel INTC, semiconductors SMH are under fire with consumers retreating to windowshoping

First signs of consumers retrenching for recession defence: demand for Tec products is cut, chips are to suffer.

"SIA lowers 2008 chip sales growth forecast
SIA lowers 2008 semiconductor sales growth forecast to 4.3 percent from 7.7 percent
SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) -- The Semiconductor Industry Association cut its 2008 semiconductor sales growth forecast Wednesday, citing ongoing pricing pressure in memory chips, and in DRAM memory chips in particular."